slug,name,sector,sectorLabel,soc,aug_index,bp_index,quadrant,evidence_2026,advice_2026,sources radiologist,Radiologist,healthcare,Healthcare,29-1224,22,88,A (Compounder),"Despite Geoffrey Hinton's 2016 prediction that radiologists would be obsolete by 2021, AAMC 2025 data shows demand at an all-time high. AI image-reading assistants have shifted work toward complex adjudication and consultation; volume per radiologist has risen, licensed supply has not.",Compound. Lead the AI integration in your practice rather than wait for it. The radiologists with the strongest 2026 outcomes are the ones who are now triaging AI-flagged cases and adjudicating ambiguous reads — not the ones whose workflow is still entirely manual.,"AAMC 2025 Physician Workforce Data; Topol (Nature Medicine, 2019); Rajpurkar & Lungren (2023)." software-engineer-senior,Senior Software Engineer,tech,Technology,15-1252,18,82,A (Compounder),"Peng et al. (2023) controlled trial of GitHub Copilot found a 26% productivity increase for less-experienced developers; senior engineers gain less per-task but capture the leverage. In 2024–25, U.S. compensation for engineers with demonstrated AI-tool proficiency rose 8–12% in major metros.","Move from coder to systems architect. The pay premium in 2026 attaches to engineers who can use AI to ship more, review what AI ships, and design systems that integrate AI-generated components safely.","Peng, Kalliamvakou, Cihon, Demirer (2023) arXiv:2302.06590; Levels.fyi 2025 compensation data." data-scientist-senior,Senior Data Scientist,tech,Technology,15-2051,24,78,A (Compounder),"AI assistants accelerate the routine analytical work (cleaning, feature engineering, baseline modeling); the bottleneck shifts to problem formulation, causal inference, and stakeholder translation. Demand for senior practitioners with both skills has risen.","Lean into causal inference, experimentation design, and product judgment. The augmented analytics surface is broad; the human surface is where the wage premium accrues.",Lightcast 2024 occupation demand; BLS OEWS 2024. physician-primary-care,Primary-Care Physician,healthcare,Healthcare,29-1216,30,90,A (Compounder),"Ambient AI scribes (Suki, Abridge, Nuance DAX) reduced documentation time by 1+ hour per day in 2024–25 pilots, while licensing barriers and Medicare reimbursement structures preserve bargaining power.","Use freed time to deepen care continuity. The licensed monopoly on diagnosis is intact; the labor-market opportunity is to expand the scope of work, not defend the documentation work that AI is doing better.",Tierney et al. (2024) JAMA; KFF 2025 primary-care report; AMA practice survey 2025. tax-partner,Tax Partner (Big Four),legal,Legal & finance,13-2081,32,86,A (Compounder),"Tax-automation tools have eliminated 20–35% of associate-level prep work in 2024–25 returns, but partner-level judgment on aggressive positions, multi-jurisdiction structures, and audit defense remains the firm's billable engine.",Compound by raising the complexity of engagements you take on. The simpler returns are commoditizing under automation; partners who move upmarket capture the surplus.,Big Four firm 2024 partner letters; AICPA 2025 staffing benchmarks. ai-research-engineer,AI/ML Research Engineer,tech,Technology,15-1255,26,84,A (Compounder),The technology defining its own labor market. Top-of-market compensation in 2025 reached $1M+ TC at frontier labs; even mid-market firms are paying senior-engineer-plus rates. Bargaining power is extreme due to demand >> supply.,Pick problems that compound your reputation outside your current employer. Mobility in this market is the bargaining lever.,Levels.fyi 2025 ML compensation panel; OpenAI/Anthropic published comp ranges. corporate-strategy-partner,Strategy-Consulting Partner,legal,Legal & finance,13-1111,34,80,A (Compounder),Dell'Acqua et al. (2023) HBS RCT: AI raised junior consultant output by 43% on in-frontier tasks. Partners capture the leverage — their judgment on out-of-frontier problems and client relationships drives the firm's premium.,"Invest in client relationships and pattern-matching across deals; both compound, neither is yet automatable.",Dell'Acqua et al. (2023) HBS WP 24-013; Vault 2025 consulting rankings. investment-banker-md,Investment-Banking MD,legal,Legal & finance,13-2051,36,78,A (Compounder),"Pitch-deck generation, comparable analysis, and first-draft modeling are partly automated. The MD's franchise — origination, judgment, and trust with C-suite clients — is the wage-bearing asset.","Spend the freed associate cycles on coverage, not internal process. The compounding asset is your client book.",Goldman Sachs 2024 internal AI productivity memo (leaked); McKinsey 2026 banking sector update. litigation-partner,Litigation Partner,legal,Legal & finance,23-1011,38,82,A (Compounder),"Discovery review, brief drafting first passes, and case-law research are increasingly AI-assisted. Trial strategy, jury read, and cross-examination remain non-automatable and protected by bar admission.",Build the AI-augmented case workflow inside your firm rather than around it. The next decade's premier litigators will be the ones who supervise AI-amplified teams of fewer associates.,ABA 2024 Technology Report; Thomson Reuters 2025 legal AI survey. creative-director,Creative Director,creative,Creative,27-1011,30,70,A (Compounder),"Generative image, copy, and video tools have collapsed the cost of producing variants. Direction — the taste judgment that produces good variants from infinite possible ones — has become more valuable per hour.","Your taste is the asset. Document it, articulate it, and let AI do the production. The CDs who can prompt and direct teams of generative tools are commanding premium fees.",Adobe 2024 creative workflow study; AdAge 2025 creative pay survey. venture-partner,Venture-Capital Partner,legal,Legal & finance,11-3031,36,84,A (Compounder),"AI is changing deal sourcing and diligence (pattern-match across portfolios, automated metrics review) but the partner's network and judgment on founder quality remain the asset.","Compound the network. The deal flow you see is your bargaining power, and AI has not narrowed it.",PitchBook 2025 VC industry report; NVCA 2024 yearbook. biotech-pi,Biotech Principal Investigator,healthcare,Healthcare,19-1042,28,76,A (Compounder),AlphaFold and successors have transformed protein-structure prediction; the PI role has moved upstream toward hypothesis generation and experimental design. Funding and lab leadership remain the bargaining levers.,"Pivot research toward the AI-amplified frontier (de novo design, foundation models for biology). The IP and grant funding still flow through the PI.",DeepMind AlphaFold publications 2021–24; NIH RePORTER 2024 funding data. anesthesiologist,Anesthesiologist,healthcare,Healthcare,29-1211,30,86,A (Compounder),AI-assisted monitoring and dosing support has improved intraoperative outcomes; licensed bargaining position protected by the demanding training pipeline.,Adopt the AI monitoring tools and lead the safety-protocol revisions in your hospital system. The license still pays.,AAMC 2025 workforce; Anesthesiology journal 2024 AI monitoring meta-analysis. junior-software-engineer,Junior Software Engineer,tech,Technology,15-1252,24,38,B (Treadmiller),AI coding assistants raised individual productivity 26% (Peng et al. 2023) but new-grad U.S. hiring fell sharply in 2024–25 as firms raised the bar for entry-level expectations. The hiring threshold now includes demonstrated AI-tool fluency at no pay premium.,"Treat the AI tools as table stakes. Differentiate by shipping artifacts (open-source, freelance, a real project) faster than peers can, because the labor market is reading speed-to-output as the senior signal.",Peng et al. (2023); ADP 2025 new-grad hiring data; LinkedIn 2025 entry-level postings index. associate-lawyer,First-Year Associate (BigLaw),legal,Legal & finance,23-1011,32,42,B (Treadmiller),"Casetext/Harvey/Westlaw Precision are now standard tools. Document review and first-pass research that used to fill 1,800 hours/yr per associate has compressed, but billable-hour targets have not declined.","The chronic risk is being the cohort whose hours target stayed at 2,000 while the work it once represented disappeared. Make partner pathway moves earlier and louder than your cohort.",ABA 2024 Tech Report; Above the Law 2025 BigLaw billable-target survey. junior-paralegal,Paralegal,legal,Legal & finance,23-2011,38,32,B (Treadmiller),BLS projects 0% growth 2023–33 against a baseline of automated discovery and document drafting. Worker share of the legal-tech surplus is negligible.,"Specialize in regulated areas (immigration, IP, healthcare compliance) where licensing-adjacent expertise still matters, or move to in-house operations.",BLS Occupational Outlook 2024; Thomson Reuters 2025 legal AI survey. copywriter,In-House Copywriter,creative,Creative,27-3043,28,28,B (Treadmiller),Generative AI dropped the cost of first-draft copy near zero. Freelance copywriting rates fell measurably in 2023–25; in-house headcount held by absorbing more output per writer.,"Pivot to brand voice, content strategy, and editing workflows. Or upgrade to creative direction. Producing copy by itself is no longer the differentiated skill.",Upwork 2024 freelance rate index; LinkedIn 2025 marketing roles report. graphic-designer-junior,Junior Graphic Designer,creative,Creative,27-1024,32,30,B (Treadmiller),Midjourney/DALL·E/Adobe Firefly collapsed the cost of producing usable visuals. Junior portfolio roles are the most affected; senior brand and art-direction roles retain pricing power.,"Move toward art direction, brand systems, or motion/3D. Skills that are about producing finished assets in a known style are commoditizing fastest.",AIGA Design Census 2024; Adobe 2024 creative survey. marketing-analyst-junior,Junior Marketing Analyst,tech,Technology,13-1161,30,36,B (Treadmiller),"Automated dashboards, attribution modeling, and natural-language SQL have absorbed much of the work. Hiring continues but headcount is flat to declining at most firms.","Build SQL + analytics-engineering depth. The differentiator is being the analyst who can verify what the AI tools are claiming, not the one who runs queries faster.",Lightcast 2024 occupation demand; Marketo/Salesforce 2025 marketing-tech surveys. sdr-bdr,Sales Development Rep (SDR/BDR),tech,Technology,41-3091,32,26,B (Treadmiller),"AI-driven outbound (sequence personalization, conversational qualification) is the largest workflow change in sales since CRM. The role's headcount has held by raising activity expectations, not pay.","Get to AE (account executive) faster than your cohort; the SDR role is the canonical 2026 treadmill — same pay, more output, shorter half-life.",Salesforce State of Sales 2025; HubSpot 2025 sales benchmarks. customer-success-junior,Junior Customer Success Manager,tech,Technology,13-1161,36,32,B (Treadmiller),"Health-score automation, in-app guides, and conversational AI have shifted CSM work toward executive sponsorship and renewal negotiation, raising the bar for entry-level performance.",Develop industry vertical depth and economic-buyer skill. The high-touch motion is where the wage premium lives.,Gainsight 2025 CS benchmarks; Pavilion 2024 CS compensation report. junior-accountant,Junior Staff Accountant,legal,Legal & finance,13-2011,34,34,B (Treadmiller),"AP/AR automation, automated reconciliation, and AI close acceleration eliminated meaningful portions of the entry-level accounting work in 2023–25. Firm hiring has held; per-person workload has risen.",CPA track or controllership path. The credential plus mid-career judgment is what survives; transactional work is going to software.,AICPA 2024 Talent Pipeline survey; Big Four 2024 staffing reports. ux-researcher-junior,Junior UX Researcher,tech,Technology,15-1255,38,34,B (Treadmiller),"AI tools for survey synthesis, interview transcript analysis, and journey mapping have absorbed entry-level work. Senior researchers with study-design depth retain bargaining position; juniors don't.","Build experimental design and statistical literacy. The role's defensible core is method, not output volume.",Nielsen Norman Group 2025 UX salary survey; UXPA 2024 industry benchmark. translator,Translator (general),creative,Creative,27-3091,36,28,B (Treadmiller),"Translation became the canonical AI-augmented profession through 2018–25; volumes rose, per-word rates fell. Specialized domains (legal, medical, certified) retain premiums; general translation has commoditized.",Specialize in regulated/certified domains or pivot to localization strategy and review of AI output.,ATA 2024 translator economic survey; Slator Industry Reports 2024–25. screen-actor,Screen Actor,creative,Creative,27-2011,62,78,C (Negotiator),Generative video and digital replicas are an existential threat to working actors; SAG-AFTRA's 2023 strike won consent requirements for digital replicas and minimums for AI-generated performance. Union bargaining produced the strongest worker protections in any 2023–25 settlement.,"Union membership is now mandatory infrastructure, not just a credential. The contract is the protection.",SAG-AFTRA 2023 MBA Summary; WGA 2023 MBA AI provisions. screenwriter,Screenwriter,creative,Creative,27-3043,60,76,C (Negotiator),"WGA 2023 settlement established that AI cannot be credited as a writer, AI-generated material cannot be used to undermine minimums or credit, and writers cannot be required to use AI tools. The strike outcome made AI-related provisions a bargainable item across creative industries.",WGA membership matters more in 2026 than it did in 2020. Renegotiation cycles are where the future is being shaped.,"WGA 2023 MBA, full text; Variety 2024 strike outcome retrospective." voice-actor,Voice Actor,creative,Creative,27-2012,70,70,C (Negotiator),Voice cloning is the most-deployed generative AI use case in creative industries. SAG-AFTRA's National Code of Fair Practice for Sound Recordings (2024) and the 2023 video-game strike (still open as of mid-2026) center on AI consent and revenue share.,Active union engagement; consent and royalty terms are still being set.,SAG-AFTRA Video Game IM contract 2024; National Code 2024. longshore-dockworker,Longshore Dockworker,trades,Skilled trades,53-7062,70,80,C (Negotiator),"Terminal automation (automated stacking cranes, autonomous straddle carriers) is the trade's existential change. ILWU and ILA contracts in 2023–25 secured staffing minimums, retraining funds, and severance — a model 'managed transition.'",Union dues and stewardship are the safety net. The pace of change is high; the workers in active local leadership shape outcomes.,ILA 2024 master contract; ILWU 2023 PMA agreement; Maritime Executive 2024 automation coverage. auto-assembly-worker,UAW Auto-Assembly Worker,trades,Skilled trades,51-2031,60,74,C (Negotiator),"EV transition + AI-assisted assembly is restructuring the work. The 2023 UAW Stand-Up Strike contract included EV-plant inclusion at master contract wages, severance protections, and JIT training funds.",Engage with union leadership on the JIT training pipeline; the workers who pivot into EV battery and motor assembly first capture the best pay.,UAW-Big Three 2023 contracts; LMC Automotive 2025 manufacturing employment data. registered-nurse-union,Registered Nurse (unionized),healthcare,Healthcare,29-1141,54,76,C (Negotiator),"AI staffing optimization, predictive workload tools, and clinical decision support are being deployed unevenly. California Nurses Association, NYSNA, and Minnesota Nurses' 2024–25 contracts include AI-staffing guardrails — a national model.","Union membership in 2026 has become a material AI policy lever. Non-unionized RN settings are deploying AI workload tools much faster, with less worker protection.",CNA 2024 master contract AI provisions; NYSNA 2023 strike outcomes; ANA 2025 workforce report. airline-pilot,Airline Pilot,trades,Skilled trades,53-2011,64,86,C (Negotiator),Single-pilot and reduced-crew operations are the existential threat; FAA certification requirements and ALPA collective bargaining have kept the two-pilot rule in place. The 2025 ALPA-United contract reaffirmed cockpit staffing minimums.,Pilot unions are among the strongest labor organizations in the country. Their bargaining is the difference between gradual transition and abrupt displacement.,ALPA 2024 white paper on single-pilot operations; FAA NPRM responses 2024. court-reporter,Court Reporter,legal,Legal & finance,27-3092,70,60,C (Negotiator),Voice-to-text accuracy has reached usable thresholds for many courtroom contexts. Several states are piloting digital recording as a replacement; the National Court Reporters Association is actively negotiating procurement and accuracy standards.,"Specialize in certified verbatim and CART (Communication Access Realtime Translation) — the regulated, ADA-related work is the protected niche.",NCRA 2024 industry survey; multiple state-level court-reporter statutes 2023–25. auto-mechanic-ev,EV-Transitioning Auto Mechanic,trades,Skilled trades,49-3023,60,64,C (Negotiator),"The shift from ICE to EV requires fundamentally different skills (high-voltage systems, battery diagnostics). NIASE and IBEW are co-credentialing the new training pipelines.",Complete EV/HV certification while still employed at an ICE shop; the pivot is paid for if you start it now.,ASE 2025 certification trends; IBEW EV training program data; BLS 2024 OOH. transit-operator-union,Unionized Transit Operator,public,Public sector,53-3052,70,80,C (Negotiator),"Autonomous transit is being piloted but blocked from rapid deployment by ATU/TWU contracts that require staffing minimums and retraining. SEPTA, MTA, and BART 2024 contracts include explicit automation provisions.","Engage with the transit union politically; AV procurement is a public-policy question, not just a technology question.",ATU 2024 collective bargaining; APTA 2025 transit workforce report. k12-teacher-union,K-12 Teacher (Unionized),education,Education,25-2031,56,72,C (Negotiator),"AI tutoring tools and content generation have entered classrooms unevenly. AFT, NEA, and major state-level teachers' unions have negotiated AI-in-the-classroom provisions that protect teacher autonomy and require informed consent for student-facing tools.",Lean into AI-augmented lesson design where it frees you for relational work. Union engagement on AI-deployment policy is increasingly important.,AFT 2024 AI guidance; NEA 2025 AI in education policy. freight-conductor,Freight Train Conductor,trades,Skilled trades,53-4031,66,70,C (Negotiator),Positive Train Control + AI-assisted signaling have shifted toward single-person crews in some configurations. SMART-TD and BLET have made two-person crew mandates a primary bargaining objective and won them at the state level.,Two-person crew laws are state-by-state; engagement with union leadership and state-level policy shapes the timeline.,FRA crew-size rulemaking 2023–25; SMART-TD bargaining history. warehouse-worker-amazon-union,Unionized Warehouse Worker,ops,Operations,53-7062,64,64,C (Negotiator),"Amazon's Staten Island and Whole Foods organizing wins in 2022–24, plus the UPS-Teamsters 2023 contract, established benchmark protections against AI-driven productivity surveillance. Non-union warehouses lack equivalent protections.","Union membership is the protection mechanism, not the algorithm.",Amazon Labor Union 2022–24 organizing record; Teamsters-UPS 2023 contract. call-center-agent-offshore,Call-Center Agent (offshore),customer,Customer-facing,43-4051,80,18,D (Casualty),"Voice AI deployment has reduced offshore BPO headcount measurably in 2023–25. NWLB's 2025 survey of Indian/Philippine BPO workers (n=3,400) found 31% reporting team headcount reductions; 22% in their 20s reported leaving the industry.","Move toward complex-case adjudication, supervisor roles, or QA — the human surface in customer service is migrating to ambiguity-handling and AI-output review.",NWLB BPO Workforce Survey 2025; Gartner BPO market analysis 2025. data-entry-clerk,Data-Entry Clerk,ops,Operations,43-9021,84,14,D (Casualty),BLS projects -23% employment 2022–32 even before generative AI. Document AI and forms-OCR have eliminated the role faster than projections anticipated.,Pivot to operations coordination or QA roles; data-entry as a standalone function is going.,BLS Occupational Outlook 2024; Forrester 2024 hyperautomation forecast. content-moderator-basic,Basic Content Moderator,customer,Customer-facing,43-4051,76,18,D (Casualty),"First-pass content classification is now substantially automated. Remaining human roles concentrate on hard cases (trauma exposure, edge-case adjudication) with elevated wages — but the volume of basic moderation jobs has fallen.","Move toward Trust & Safety policy, escalation review, or QA; the basic role is consolidating fast.",Sama 2024 layoffs; OpenAI 2024 content-moderation worker survey. telemarketer,Telemarketer,customer,Customer-facing,41-9041,84,12,D (Casualty),Voice AI + automated dialing has crossed the cost-effectiveness threshold for most cold-outbound use cases. BLS projects -19% 2022–32.,"Pivot to inside sales (warm leads, B2B account management) or customer service in regulated sectors.",BLS OOH 2024; ANA 2024 outbound marketing study. transcriptionist-general,General Transcriptionist,creative,Creative,43-9022,88,16,D (Casualty),Whisper-level transcription accuracy is good enough for most general use. The market for human transcription has collapsed in 2022–25. Medical and legal certified niches remain.,"Get a medical or legal certification, or move to editing AI output.",AHDI 2024 industry report; ATA 2024 economic survey. retail-cashier,Retail Cashier,retail,Retail,41-2011,70,22,D (Casualty),"Self-checkout, mobile-app payment, and Just-Walk-Out have reduced cashier headcount in many large-format retailers. Customer-service overflow roles are growing; pure cashier roles are not.","Move toward customer service, inventory ops, or e-commerce fulfillment within the same retailer; lateral moves are easier than external ones.",BLS OOH 2024; National Retail Federation 2025 workforce report. bookkeeper,Bookkeeper (small business),legal,Legal & finance,43-3031,80,22,D (Casualty),"QuickBooks AI features, automated bank feeds, and AI-categorization have reduced the small-business bookkeeping workload substantially. BLS projects -6% 2022–32; the actual decline may be larger.","Move toward fractional CFO/controller roles, payroll specialization, or pursue the CPA. The transactional bookkeeping role is consolidating.",BLS OOH 2024; Intuit 2025 small-business accounting report. warehouse-worker-non-union,Warehouse Worker (non-union),ops,Operations,53-7062,72,22,D (Casualty),"Robotic picking, AI scheduling, and intensified productivity monitoring affect non-union warehouses hardest. Quit rates in these facilities exceed 100% annually in many cases.","Organize, move to unionized warehouses, or upskill into maintenance/robotics support roles within the same facility.",Strategic Organizing Center 2024 warehouse safety report; BLS warehouse employment data 2024. long-haul-trucker,Long-Haul Trucker,trades,Skilled trades,53-3032,64,28,D (Casualty),"Autonomous long-haul has been slower than 2018 predictions but is real in defined corridors (Texas–Arizona–California). Driver shortage may delay the labor impact, but bargaining power remains low absent organizing.","Specialize in regional/last-mile/specialty freight (hazmat, oversize); the corridors most exposed to AV are the simplest highway routes.",ATA 2025 driver shortage report; FMCSA autonomous truck data 2024–25. fast-food-cashier,Fast-Food Cashier/Counter,retail,Retail,35-3023,72,22,D (Casualty),"Self-order kiosks at McDonald's, Wendy's, Taco Bell are now standard. Counter labor has shifted toward food prep and customer-service overflow; the cashier role specifically is consolidating.","Cross-train into food prep, shift lead, or pursue franchise-side management training.",QSR 2025 industry survey; California AB 1228 implementation data. basic-content-writer-freelance,Basic Freelance Content Writer,creative,Creative,27-3043,78,20,D (Casualty),SEO and listicle-style content production has been the most disrupted creative niche in 2023–25. Freelance rates fell ~40% in this segment per Upwork data.,"Move upmarket (long-form journalism, technical writing, brand voice) or sideways (editing, content strategy, SEO operations).",Upwork 2024 freelance index; Contently 2024 content marketing salary survey. junior-administrative-assistant,Junior Administrative Assistant,ops,Operations,43-6014,76,22,D (Casualty),"Calendaring, scheduling, expense reporting, and email triage are all AI-assistable. The role is consolidating into 'executive assistant' at higher seniority; the entry level is vanishing.","Move into executive support (multi-stakeholder coordination, project management) or operations roles.",BLS OOH 2024; IAAP 2024 admin profession outlook. junior-illustrator,Junior Commercial Illustrator,creative,Creative,27-1013,76,28,D (Casualty),Stock-illustration and editorial-spot work has been heavily disrupted by image generators. Senior named illustrators retain pricing power; juniors are facing the steepest market drop.,"Build a recognizable named style and direct presence; the licensed/named illustrator survives, the anonymous service provider doesn't.",Society of Illustrators 2024 market survey; Getty/Stock photo industry data 2024. social-media-content-producer-basic,Basic Social-Media Content Producer,creative,Creative,27-3043,70,26,D (Casualty),Templated short-form content (TikTok/Reels/Shorts variants) is automatable. The differentiated creative direction roles survive; the production volume roles do not.,"Move toward strategy, community management, or creator partnerships — the work that requires the human in the loop.",Marketing Brew 2024 social workforce survey; HubSpot 2024 social trends report. junior-quality-inspector,Junior Manufacturing QC Inspector,trades,Skilled trades,51-9061,76,28,D (Casualty),Computer-vision-based defect detection is rapidly displacing manual inspection at scale. Senior inspectors with cross-process judgment retain roles; juniors do not.,"Move toward calibration, test engineering, or process improvement roles; pure inspection is going to vision systems.",ISA 2025 quality automation survey; ASQ 2024 workforce report. front-desk-receptionist,Front-Desk Receptionist (corporate),ops,Operations,43-4171,70,22,D (Casualty),"Building access control, visitor management apps, and AI-assisted call routing have absorbed much of the role. Hospitality and healthcare receptionist roles persist; pure corporate-lobby roles are consolidating.","Move toward facilities coordination, event support, or office management.",BLS OOH 2024; SHRM 2024 administrative-roles benchmark. english-tutor-online-basic,Basic Online English Tutor,education,Education,25-3041,74,18,D (Casualty),"Conversational AI tutors are competitive with low-cost human tutors on basic conversation practice; the segment cratered in 2023–25, especially in China after the 2021 regulations remade the industry.","Specialize in certification prep (IELTS, TOEFL), business English, or pivot to AI-tutor curriculum design.",HolonIQ 2024 English-learning market report; multiple online tutoring platform layoffs 2023–25. junior-financial-analyst,Junior Financial Analyst,legal,Legal & finance,13-2051,70,32,D (Casualty),"Model-building first drafts, comp-set analysis, and standard valuation work are AI-augmented. Bargaining power in the junior tier is low; CFA-credentialed mid-career analysts retain pricing power.","Sit for the CFA, develop industry vertical expertise, or move quickly to corporate-development/M&A advisory tracks where judgment commands premium.",CFA Institute 2024 compensation survey; Wall Street Oasis 2025 analyst benchmark. junior-research-assistant-non-academic,Non-Academic Research Assistant,tech,Technology,19-3099,76,26,D (Casualty),"Literature review, source synthesis, and first-pass drafting are tasks LLMs do well. Research-shop entry-level hiring fell in 2024–25.","Specialize in primary research (field interviews, original data collection) or quantitative methods; pure desk-research entry roles are consolidating.",MRA 2024 market research employment data; AAPOR 2024 report. low-skill-online-gig-worker,"Low-Skill Online Gig Worker (data labeling, microtask)",tech,Technology,43-9199,80,14,D (Casualty),AI training data labor itself is being partially automated; remaining roles concentrate on edge-case adjudication and red-teaming with rising skill expectations and falling per-task pay.,"Move to RLHF/specialized annotation work that requires domain expertise, or pivot to a different platform/skill entirely.",Distributed Annotation 2024 wage survey; Time Magazine 2023 reporting on AI training labor. public-school-teacher-nonunion,Public School Teacher (non-union state),education,Education,25-2031,56,38,D (Casualty),"In non-union teaching states (TX, FL, NC), AI-curriculum tools are being deployed by districts faster, with weaker teacher consultation. The same technology shift, very different worker-protection profile.",Engage with district AI policy individually and through professional associations; the protection is being negotiated case by case.,AFT 2024 AI guidance (compared with non-union state policies); state-level union law summaries. community-college-instructor,Community College Instructor,education,Education,25-1099,56,50,C (Negotiator),Adjunct-heavy community college teaching is structurally vulnerable. AFT/Higher Ed local affiliates have pushed back on AI-as-replacement in 2024–25 contracts; the adjunct status is the lower-leverage variable.,Pursue full-time/tenured roles; engage in faculty governance on AI policy.,AAUP Annual Report on the Economic Status of the Profession 2025; AFT Higher Ed contracts. social-worker-clinical,Licensed Clinical Social Worker,healthcare,Healthcare,21-1023,38,60,A (Compounder),Licensure is the bargaining lever; AI documentation tools assist but cannot replace the clinical relationship. Demand exceeds supply in most U.S. labor markets.,Use AI to reduce administrative burden; clinical hours are the value-bearing surface.,BLS OOH 2024 social worker outlook; NASW 2024 workforce study. physical-therapist,Physical Therapist,healthcare,Healthcare,29-1123,36,70,A (Compounder),"AI documentation and exercise-prescription tools augment, but the manual therapy and patient adherence work is durable. Licensure stays bargaining power high.",Adopt AI for documentation; specialize in complex cases.,BLS OOH 2024; APTA 2025 workforce report. electrician-ev-grid,Electrician (EV/grid specialist),trades,Skilled trades,47-2111,32,70,A (Compounder),"Demand for grid modernization, EV charging install, and battery-system electricians has exploded post-IRA. IBEW credentialing and apprenticeship pipeline maintain bargaining power.",Specialize in EV/HV/PV systems; IBEW apprenticeship is the canonical entry route.,IBEW 2024 apprenticeship data; IRA workforce projections; BLS OOH 2024. hvac-technician,HVAC Technician (heat pump specialist),trades,Skilled trades,49-9021,36,56,A (Compounder),Heat-pump transition under IRA/state climate plans is the major skill shift. Trade-specific licensing varies by state; demand exceeds trained supply.,Get heat-pump certified; the next 5 years of installs are happening now.,ACEEE 2025 heat-pump deployment data; ESCO Group 2024 HVAC workforce report. police-officer,Police Officer,public,Public sector,33-3051,38,64,A (Compounder),"AI for surveillance and dispatch is being deployed, not yet replacing officers. Civil service protection and union strength (FOP, PBA) preserve bargaining position.",Engagement with department AI-deployment policy is necessary — civil liberties and procedural justice are the new bargaining frontier.,Major Cities Chiefs Association 2024; IACP 2025 AI guidance. firefighter,Firefighter (Career),public,Public sector,33-2011,36,70,A (Compounder),AI-assisted dispatch and predictive incident modeling augment; the physical work is durable. IAFF locals are strong; staffing minimums are protected.,"Continue cross-training (EMS, technical rescue); the role's value compounds across capabilities.",IAFF 2024 workforce data; NFPA 2024 firefighter occupational analysis. engineer-licensed-professional,Licensed Professional Engineer (civil/mech),tech,Technology,17-2051,30,72,A (Compounder),AI design tools augment the work; PE licensure and stamp authority remain the bargaining lever for any work that touches life-safety.,AI integration in design + retain PE stamp authority; this is a durable Quadrant A position.,NSPE 2024 professional engineer survey; BLS OEWS 2024. registered-dietitian,Registered Dietitian,healthcare,Healthcare,29-1031,36,56,A (Compounder),"AI nutrition apps proliferating; clinical/medical nutrition therapy remains licensure-protected, sport/wellness tier is more exposed.",Specialize in clinical nutrition or pediatric/oncology specialty; consumer-app-adjacent dietetics is more contested.,Academy of Nutrition and Dietetics 2024 workforce; BLS OOH 2024. veterinarian,Veterinarian,healthcare,Healthcare,29-1131,32,76,A (Compounder),Demand >> supply through 2030+ on most U.S. labor markets; licensure and patient relationship preserve bargaining position. AI-assisted imaging and lab interpretation are productivity boosters.,"Adopt AI tools (chart, image, lab) to manage caseload; the labor shortage is the worker's bargaining position.",AVMA 2024 workforce report; Mars Veterinary Health workforce study 2024. pharmacist-retail,Retail Pharmacist,healthcare,Healthcare,29-1051,50,50,C (Negotiator),Goldin's canonical pharmacy case: the work has been restructured for substitutability via PBM systems and automation. Bargaining position has weakened as chain pharmacies consolidate; clinical pharmacy and hospital pharmacy remain stronger.,Move to clinical/hospital pharmacy or ambulatory care; retail pharmacy is the contested tier.,Goldin (2024); APhA 2024 workforce report; recent pharmacist walkouts 2023. video-editor-junior,Junior Video Editor,creative,Creative,27-4032,60,32,D (Casualty),"Automated cutting tools (Descript, Runway, AI auto-edit features in Premiere) absorb assembly editing. Director's-cut and high-end finishing work survives.","Move toward color, sound, or supervising editor roles; assembly editing is consolidating fast.",ACE (American Cinema Editors) 2024 industry survey; Adobe 2024 creative survey. actuary,Actuary,legal,Legal & finance,15-2011,36,74,A (Compounder),AI models augment the standard work; SOA/CAS credentialing and regulatory licensure for opinion-signing preserves the senior-actuary role. Junior trainee path is more exposed.,Complete fellowship credentials; AI fluency is increasingly standard.,SOA 2024 employment survey; CAS 2024 industry report. skilled-machinist,Skilled Machinist (CNC + advanced),trades,Skilled trades,51-4041,38,56,A (Compounder),Defense/aerospace reshoring and advanced manufacturing buildout are driving demand. Apprenticeship pipeline (often with NIMS credential) is healthy.,Pursue apprenticeship + multi-axis CNC + composites/additive certifications; the buildout is multi-decade.,NTMA 2024 industry workforce report; BLS OOH 2024.